Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.659753 0.819335 0.989574 1.182889 1.394649 1.618078 1.870213
2025-03-02 0.389564 0.595838 0.837592 1.132771 1.475718 1.855159 2.300796
2025-03-09 0.241166 0.452454 0.721886 1.070104 1.491898 1.973316 2.552775
2025-03-16 0.151044 0.358016 0.646234 1.038784 1.531429 2.107905 2.814982
2025-03-23 0.105177 0.311717 0.622185 1.062605 1.629715 2.304893 3.143573
2025-03-30 0.066868 0.263799 0.587073 1.065375 1.696905 2.461093 3.421406
2025-04-06 0.035661 0.213258 0.538965 1.043947 1.728414 2.570324 3.640437
2025-04-13 0.024132 0.198963 0.544010 1.094005 1.850569 2.789528 3.990322
2025-04-20 0.015601 0.186546 0.549662 1.143398 1.970903 3.005943 4.336594
2025-04-27 0.010045 0.178572 0.561227 1.200414 2.100799 3.234032 4.696997
2025-05-04 0.008217 0.183794 0.596138 1.291993 2.277111 3.520578 5.128934
2025-05-11 0.004801 0.177113 0.608050 1.348553 2.406010 3.747444 5.488219
2025-05-18 0.000968 0.155502 0.591905 1.366011 2.487894 3.922958 5.795403
2025-05-25 NaN 0.114827 0.530330 1.309774 2.467529 3.968629 5.944342
2025-06-01 NaN 0.078745 0.466298 1.242567 2.426866 3.984335 6.052683
2025-06-08 NaN 0.056417 0.425473 1.208484 2.429410 4.053140 6.224505
2025-06-15 NaN 0.048516 0.420535 1.234334 2.517299 4.233000 6.535138
2025-06-22 NaN 0.037908 0.403453 1.237322 2.571078 4.367505 6.788446
2025-06-29 NaN 0.025500 0.373252 1.214114 2.584839 4.448105 6.973005
2025-07-06 NaN 0.024450 0.385194 1.268313 2.713507 4.681630 7.351553
2025-07-13 NaN 0.023386 0.396714 1.321706 2.841067 4.913851 7.728704
2025-07-20 NaN 0.023320 0.412510 1.383241 2.980980 5.162789 8.127390
2025-07-27 NaN 0.027549 0.447794 1.481871 3.176801 5.486774 8.621855